reviewed publications

Langmack, H., F. Sielmann, and K. Fraedrich, 2007: Analog-Vorhersagen von Hurrikan-Zugbahnen (Analog forecasts of hurricane tracks). promet, 33 Nr. 1/2, 65-70, Deutscher Wetterdienst.

Fraedrich, K., C. C. Raible, and F. Sielmann, 2003: Analog ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks in the Australian region. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 3-11.

Sievers, O., K. Fraedrich, and C. C. Raible, 2000: Self-adapting analog ensemble predictions of tropical cyclone tracks. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 623-629.

Fraedrich, K. and B. Rückert, 1998: Metric adaption for analog forecasting. Physica A. 253, 379-393.

reviewed publications (related work and preparatory work)

McNames, J., 2002: Local averaging optimization for chaotic time series prediction. Neurocomputing, 48, 279-299.

Fraedrich, K., R. Morrison, and L. M. Leslie, 2000: Improved tropical cyclone track predictions by error recycling. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 74, 51-56.

Raible C. C., G. Bischof, K. Fraedrich, and E. Kirk, 1999: Statistical single station short-term forecasting of temperature and probability of precipitation: Area interpolation and NWP-combination. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 203-214.

Fraedrich, K., and C. Ziehmann-Schlumbohm, 1994: Predictability experiments with persistence forecasts in a red noise atmosphere. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 120, 387-428.

Leslie, L. M., G.D. Hess, G. J. Holland, P. R. Morison, and K. Fraedrich, 1992: Predicting changes in intensity of tropical cyclones using a Markov chain technique. Aust. Met. Mag., 40, 41-46.

Fraedrich, K. and L. M. Leslie, 1991: Predictability studies of the Antarctic atmosphere using both analogue and chaos theory. Aust. Met. Mag., 39, 1-9.

Leslie, L. M., and K. Fraedrich, 1990: Reduction of tropical cyclone position errors using an optimal combination of independent forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 158-161.

Fraedrich, K., R. Grotjahn, and L. M. Leslie, 1990: Estimates of cyclone track predictability. Part II: Fractal analysis of mid-latitude cyclones. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 116, 317-335.

Fraedrich, K. and L. M. Leslie, 1989: Estimates of cyclone track predictability, Part I: Tropical cyclones in the Australian region. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 115, 79-92.